Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Burgos Promesas		Real Ávila

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.98	2.08
	3.69	2.94	2.11
	3.52	3.12	2.07	Watch
	3.5	2.8	2.1
	3.56	2.91	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (3.58)	2.95 ↓ (3.07)	2.09 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
25.8%

Draw
30.8%

Real Ávila
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

30%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

29.5%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Burgos Promesas - Real Ávila Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Pascual H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Ruiz M. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Pascual C. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Real Ávila will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos Promesas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.02.26	Langreo - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Burgos Promesas - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	UD Ourense - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Burgos Promesas - Sarriana	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Sámano - Burgos Promesas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLTLW
- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.02.26	Real Ávila - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Valladolid B - Real Ávila	7:2 ✺
01.02.26	Real Ávila - Atlético Astorga	2:4 ✺
25.01.26	Lealtad - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Real Ávila - UD Ourense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.12.25	Real Ávila - Burgos Promesas	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.03.24	Burgos Promesas - Real Ávila	1:2
05.11.23	Real Ávila - Burgos Promesas	1:1
24.01.21	Burgos Promesas - Real Ávila	1:0
04.01.20	Burgos Promesas - Real Ávila	3:0
12.01.19	Burgos Promesas - Real Ávila	0:0

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