Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Burgos Promesas |
|
Sarriana |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.98 |
2.88 |
|
 |
2.33 |
3.04 |
3.19 |
|
 |
2.31 |
3.02 |
3.09 |
Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3 |
|
 |
2.31 |
2.96 |
3.05 |
|
 |
2.3 |
3 |
3.1 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.32 ↑ (2.29) |
2.97 ↓ (3.16) |
3.05 ↑ (2.85) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Burgos Promesas 39.4% | Draw 30.7% | Sarriana 29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+1.3%)Burgos Promesas - Sarriana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Claveria M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 86', 0 - 2, Vilarino J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 11).Burgos Promesas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Sarriana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Burgos Promesas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;