The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayong FC 35.7%
Draw 28%
Pathum United 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
25%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
24.5%
46.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayong FC's performance.
Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pathum United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayong FC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pathum United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rayong FC - Pathum United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Ganthong W. (G) 5. Phusirit W. 14. Cebara S. 35. Nontharath K. 11. Pongsuwan S. 6. Joao Afonso 15. Sontisawat S. 99. Weslen Junior 18. Junior S. (C) 27. Amornlerdsak A. 22. Ratree S.
28. Anuin S. (G) 15. Matsuda R. 22. James N. 16. Sandokhadze N. 3. Ose T. 27. Jantawong P. 31. Takagi Y. 6. Yooyen S. (C) 9. Sareepim S. 7. Raniel 18. Songkrasin C.
Substitutes
8. Aleman K. 23. Creevey M. 31. Harape P. 13. Hempandan T. 41. Ito R. 74. Ittiprasert P. 20. Justiniano L. 90. Kaminthong P. 10. Kunmee S. 19. Romphopak S. 24. Sattham J. 36. Srisupha W. (G)
99. bin Fandi Ahmad I. 89. Buaphan C. 14. Doi T. 44. Dolah E. 49. Inthacharoen N. (G) 29. Jamnongwat W. 95. Matheus Fornazari 17. Notsuda G. 24. Pimoytha T. 30. Tippanet I. 4. Tongkiri C. 47. Wongsawang N.
Coaches
Punpee J.
Vujovic V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Raniel ⚽, Yooyen S. (A),
34', Takagi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Takagi Y. ↓, Tongkiri C. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Amornlerdsak A. ⚽, Ratree S. (A),
55', Sareepim S. ↓, Jamnongwat W. ↑,
55', Raniel ↓, Doi T. ↑,
58', Tongkiri C. ↓, Notsuda G. ↑,
63', Joao Afonso 🟨,
64', Amornlerdsak A. ↓, Ito R. ↑,
73', Matsuda R. ↓, Matheus Fornazari ↑,
80', Pongsuwan S. ↓, Kaminthong P. ↑,
80', Ratree S. ↓, Sattham J. ↑,
82', Kaminthong P. 🟨,
82', Sontisawat S. 🟨,
90', Songkrasin C. 🟨,
90', Joao Afonso ↓, Aleman K. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).
Rayong FC is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Pathum United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Rayong FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Rayong FC has had a series of away games.
Pathum United might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayong FC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayong FC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Thailand
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Ganthong W. (G) 
Cebara S. 
Joao Afonso 
Matsuda R. 
Sandokhadze N. 
Ose T. 
Justiniano L. 
bin Fandi Ahmad I. 
Vujovic V. 
