Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Buriram United		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.65	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.78	2.67
	2.47	3.78	2.67
	2.2	3.6	2.6
	2.43	3.6	2.68	Watch
	2.41	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.98)	3.63 ↓ (3.66)	2.64 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buriram United
38.7%

Draw
25.8%

Ventforet Kofu
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

25%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

25.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buriram United's form might have worsened.

Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ventforet Kofu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buriram United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ventforet Kofu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

Buriram United - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Kofu will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buriram: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tedsungnoen S. (G) 15. Weerawatnodom N. (C) 11. Cools D. 2. Haiprakon S. 5. Bunmathan T. 20. Causic G. 8. Maikami R. 25. Peenagatapho S. 6. Chamratsamee P. 44. Chotmuangpak T. 9. Jaided S.	1. Kawata K. (G) 23. Sekiguchi M. (C) 49. Inoue S. 29. Kamiya K. 13. Miura S. 24. Matsumoto N. 71. Nakamura R. 30. Cristiano 15. Iijima R. 10. Hasegawa M. 99. Utaka P.
Substitutes
29. Boodjinda A. 55. Inprakhon T. 59. Lakhonphon N. (G) 49. Petra P. 70. Pungviravong J. 95. Ratree S.	7. Araki S. 77. Getulio 5. Hasukawa S. 16. Hayashida K. 6. Kobayashi I. 2. Matsuda R. 9. Mitsuhira K. 19. Miyazaki J. 26. Sato K. 21. Shibuya T. (G) 18. Torikai Y. 4. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Papastamatis A.	Shinoda Y.

Preview

Recent matches Buriram is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kofu is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kofu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Buriram will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Buriram won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buriram United
Thai League 1
09.12.23	Buriram United - Nakhon Pathom United	4:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
06.12.23	Udon United - Buriram United	2:4 ✺
Thai League 1
03.12.23	Muangthong United - Buriram United	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
29.11.23	Zhejiang Professional - Buriram United	3:2 ✺
Thai League 1
24.11.23	Buriram United - Ratchaburi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWTLT
- Ventforet Kofu
AFC Champions League
29.11.23	Ventforet Kofu - Melbourne City	3:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
11.11.23	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
08.11.23	Ventforet Kofu - Zhejiang Professional	4:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
03.11.23	Ventforet Kofu - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
04.10.23	Ventforet Kofu - Buriram United	1:0

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