Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Chang Arena (Buriram)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Bulgaria	Triller TV+
China	iQIYI, Migu
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball app, Sport 2 Baltic


	Buriram United		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	3	3.6	2.2
	3.05	3.59	2.25
	3	3.69	2.17	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.68	2.14	Watch
	3	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.63)	3.59 ↓ (3.68)	2.17 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Buriram United
30.6%

Draw
26.1%

Vissel Kobe
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

24.9%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

24.1%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buriram United's performance.

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vissel Kobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buriram United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vissel Kobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	11.1%	72.2%

Buriram United - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Etheridge N. (G) 6. Good C. 16. Dougall K. 20. Djalo M. 11. Cools D. 96. Matheus Vargas 5. Bunmathan T. (C) 2. Haiprakon S. 10. Lucas Crispim 9. Jaided S. 7. Bissoli	1. Maekawa D. (G) 2. Iino N. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 15. Honda Y. 19. Hatsuse R. 24. Sakai G. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 30. Yamauchi K. 7. Ideguchi Y. 9. Miyashiro T. 22. Sasaki D.
Substitutes
17. Charalampous C. 44. Chotmuangpak T. 19. Chrigor 3. Hemviboon P. 92. Kim Min-Hyeok 8. Maikami R. 95. Ratree S. 18. Stephen Berg A. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 40. Tabinas J. 1. Tedsungnoen S. (G)	21. Arai S. (G) 44. Hidaka M. 18. Ide H. 55. Iwanami T. 81. Kikuchi R. 88. Morioka R. 11. Muto Y. 50. Obi P. O. (G) 6. Ogihara T. 3. Thuler 35. Tominaga N. 14. Yuruki K.
Coaches
Loss O.	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yamauchi K. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
61', Iino N. ↓, Ide H. ↑,
61', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Ogihara T. ↑,
64', Ogihara T. 🟨,
68', Bissoli ↓, Chrigor ↑,
73', Honda Y. ↓, Thuler ↑,
82', Bunmathan T. ↓, Tabinas J. ↑,
83', Miyashiro T. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
88', Dougall K. ↓, Sukjitthammakul P. ↑,
90+2', Cools D. 🟨,

Preview

Buriram is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vissel Kobe in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Buriram have a series of guest games.

Vissel Kobe will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buriram United
Thai League 1
12.09.24	Thai Port - Buriram United	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Buriram United - Nakhon Pathom United	3:0 ✺
29.08.24	Khonkaen United - Buriram United	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Chiangrai United - Buriram United	0:5 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
22.08.24	Cong An Ha Noi - Buriram United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWWWL
- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
13.09.24	Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Vissel Kobe - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
21.08.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
17.08.24	Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWT

Upcoming Matches