The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vissel Kobe 60.9%
Draw 23.3%
Sagan Tosu 15.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.2%
20.6%
12.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
19.4%
11.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vissel Kobe's form might have worsened.
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Vissel Kobe - Sagan Tosu Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vissel Kobe will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Arai S. (G) 16. Caetano 94. Erik 44. Hidaka M. 2. Iino N. 31. Iwanami T. 26. Jean Patric 29. Komatsu R. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 41. Nagato K. 20. Watanabe K.
12. Matsubara S. (G) 26. Ando T. 13. Jojo K. 3. Kamiyama K. 2. Matsumoto N. 37. Morishita R. 20. Nakahara H. 8. Narahara Y. 33. Ogawa S. 6. Sakurai T. 10. Suzuki D.
Substitutes
15. Diego 5. Goke Y. 7. Ideguchi Y. 18. Ide H. 1. Maekawa D. (G) 11. Muto Y. 10. Osako Y. 17. Takahashi I. 4. Yamakawa T.
44. Abe K. 31. Fujishima E. (G) 4. Imazu Y. 47. Izawa R. 16. Nishizawa K. 19. Park Ho-Min 7. Sakamoto K. 21. Toyoda A. 28. Yoshida M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Kuwasaki Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Komatsu R. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
46', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Ideguchi Y. ↑,
46', Nakahara H. ↓, Izawa R. ↑,
46', Hidaka M. 🟨,
51', Ideguchi Y. 🟨,
57', Hidaka M. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
65', Matsumoto N. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
65', Jojo K. ↓, Nishizawa K. ↑,
71', Jean Patric ↓, Diego ↑,
71', Narahara Y. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
77', Morishita R. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Erik ⚽,
78', Ando T. ↓, Yoshida M. ↑,
87', Iwanami T. ↓, Takahashi I. ↑,
87', Caetano ↓, Yamakawa T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 4.
Vissel Kobe arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Tosu has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vissel Kobe may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Vissel Kobe enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Vissel Kobe in today's match, at odds of 1.46.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vissel Kobe has recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:14 (averaging 1.6:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vissel Kobe against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 17:8 goals (averaging 1.7:0.8 per game).
Watch
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Arai S. (G) 
Caetano 
Park Ho-Min 
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