Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 10

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade du 4 Août (Ouagadougou)

Referee: Diouf A. (Sen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2
Burkina-faso	RTB
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Ethiopia	ETV Ethiopia
India	FanCode, FanCode
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Burkina Faso		Ethiopia

	1	X	2
	1.17	7	17	Watch
	1.11	7.4	20
	1.14	8.36	27.42
	1.33	3.88	17.53	Watch
				Watch
	1.19	7.58	17.5	Watch
	1.25	5.2	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.23)	6.57 ↑ (5)	18.58 ↑ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burkina Faso
80.2%

Draw
14.6%

Ethiopia
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.6%

18.1%

8.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burkina Faso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burkina Faso's performance.

Ethiopia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Burkina Faso - Ethiopia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Burkina Faso will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Ethiopia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burkina Faso: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Burkina Faso (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burkina Faso will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Burkina Faso (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Koffi H. (G) Angers 9. Ouedraogo M. Majestic 12. Tapsoba E. Bayer Leverkusen 14. Dayo I. Umm-Salal 3. Yago S. Aris Limassol 7. Ouattara Da. Brentford 17. Aziz Ki S. Wydad Athletic 18. Ouedraogo I. Odense 6. Zougrana M. MC Alger 13. Konate M. Akhmat Grozny 10. Traore B. (C) Sunderland	23. Getahun F. (G) Ethiopia Nigd Bank 16. Kebede K. Welayta Dicha 3. James R. Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 13. Reshid A. Dire Dawa 12. Yesouf A. Dire Dawa 5. Sherefa H. (C) Ethiopian Insurance 20. Wolde B. St. Georges 17. Gugsa C. Bahir Dar Kenema 18. Gezahegn W. Ethiopian Insurance 7. Desta B. Mechal SC 21. Jima K. Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Substitutes
2. Ayinde A. Gent 8. Badolo C. Spartak Trnava 11. Bouda O. San Jose Earthquakes 5. Djiga N. Rangers 20. Kabore P. Hearts 19. Minoungou G. Seattle Sounders 4. Nagalo A. PSV 1. Nikiema K. (G) Den Haag 23. Simpore S. National Bank Egypt 21. Tiendrebeogo J. Annecy 22. Toure I. Pyramids 15. Yoda A. Milsami	14. Abera M. Ethiopian Insurance 10. Biniam A. Adama City 15. Gebreselassie N. Ethiopian Insurance 22. Genetu B. (G) Welayta Dicha 9. Hussien A. Arba Menche 2. Kekaleb B. Ethiopian Insurance 6. Tekeste H. Fasil Kenema 4. Tute W. Ethiopian Insurance 8. Yitagesu T. Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Coaches
Brama T.	Teferi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', James R. 🟨,
36', Yesouf A. 🟨,
38', Jima K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', Desta B. ↓, Hussien A. ↑,
56', Waza B. ↓, Biniam A. ↑,
62', Ouattara Da. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
62', Konate M. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
63', Aziz Ki S. ↓, Tiendrebeogo J. ↑,
63', Jima K. ↓, Yitagesu T. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Kabore P. ⚽, Tiendrebeogo J. (A),
69', Tiendrebeogo J. 🟨,
80', Gugsa C. ↓, Abera M. ↑,
80', Gezahegn W. ↓, Gebreselassie N. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Kabore P. ⚽,
83', Zougrana M. ↓, Toure I. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Biniam A. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 1, Kabore P. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Burkina Faso have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Burkina Faso is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burkina Faso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burkina Faso
FIFA World Cup
08.10.25	Sierra Leone - Burkina Faso	0:1 ✺
09.09.25	Burkina Faso - Egypt	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Djibouti - Burkina Faso	0:6 ✺
African Nations Championship
16.08.25	Burkina Faso - Madagascar	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Mauritania - Burkina Faso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWLL
- Ethiopia
FIFA World Cup
08.10.25	Ethiopia - Guinea Bissau	1:0 ✺
09.09.25	Sierra Leone - Ethiopia	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Egypt - Ethiopia	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	Ethiopia - Djibouti	6:1 ✺
21.03.25	Ethiopia - Egypt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
21.11.23	Ethiopia - Burkina Faso	0:3
Africa Cup of Nations
17.01.22	Burkina Faso - Ethiopia	1:1
25.01.13	Burkina Faso - Ethiopia	4:0

Burkina Faso - Ethiopia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide