Match Info

AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 5

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Larbi Zaouli (Casablanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 6
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Egypt	On Time Sports 1
Ethiopia	ETV Ethiopia
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 4
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-africa	SuperSport PSL
Usa	ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Ethiopia		Egypt

	1	X	2
	12	5.75	1.25	Watch
	17	5.5	1.22	Watch
	15	5.5	1.22	Watch
	7.65	4.68	1.36
	12.64	5.5	1.24	Watch
	15	5.5	1.22	Watch
	12.5	5.3	1.28	Watch
	15	5.5	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.35 ↑ (8.7)	5.4 ↑ (4.58)	1.25 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia
7.1%

Draw
17.5%

Egypt
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.8%

20.4%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Egypt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Egypt's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	7.7%	69.2%

Ethiopia - Egypt Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ethiopia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Egypt will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Egypt: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ambisa A. (G) 3. James R. Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 15. Tamene A. (C) Mechal SC 5. Terfa A. St. Georges 19. Kassaye Y. Ethiopian Insurance 16. Biruk M. Hadiya Hossana 8. Yohannes A. Mechal SC 11. Worku A. Mechal SC 14. Bekele B. Sidama Bunna 17. Gugsa C. Bahir Dar Kenema 10. Nasir A. Supersport Utd	1. El Shenawy M. (G) Al Ahly 3. Hany M. Al Ahly 5. Rabia R. Al Ahly 6. Abdelmonem M. Nice 21. Zizo Zamalek 7. Trezeguet Al Rayyan 14. Fathy H. Al Wakra 22. Marmoush O. Manchester City 10. Salah M. (C) Liverpool 9. Faisal O. National Bank Egypt 19. Ateya M. Al Ahly
Substitutes
12. Abera M. Ethiopian Insurance 7. Desta B. Mechal SC 23. Genetu B. (G) Welayta Dicha 2. Getu W. Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 18. Gezahegn W. Ethiopian Insurance 22. Habtamu S. (G) Adama City 9. Hussien A. Arba Menche 4. Kassa F. Bahir Dar Kenema 13. Reshid A. Dire Dawa 6. Tekeste H. Fasil Kenema 21. Tunjo A. Dire Dawa 20. Wolde B. St. Georges	4. Abdelmaguid H. Zamalek 15. Ahmed Kouka Al Ahly 16. Awad M. (G) Zamalek 17. Dunga N. Zamalek 12. Eid A. Al Masry 18. Fathi M. Pyramids 11. Mostafa Mohamed Nantes 23. Oufa Shobeir (G) Al Ahly 8. Saber M. Smouha 13. Shehata M. Zamalek 2. Sobhi K. Al Masry
Coaches
Teferi M.	Hassan H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Salah M. ⚽, Fathy H. (A),
40', 0 - 2, Zizo ⚽, Salah M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Biruk M. ↓, Wolde B. ↑,
63', Gugsa C. ↓, Desta B. ↑,
63', Yohannes A. ↓, Tekeste H. ↑,
70', Faisal O. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
73', Terfa A. ↓, Reshid A. ↑,
78', Nasir A. ↓, Abera M. ↑,
83', Zizo ↓, Shehata M. ↑,
84', Fathy H. ↓, Sobhi K. ↑,
89', Trezeguet ↓, Ahmed Kouka ↑,
90', Marmoush O. ↓, Fathi M. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

Egypt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Egypt is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ethiopia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia
African Nations Championship
22.12.24	Ethiopia - Sudan	0:2 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	D.R. Congo - Ethiopia	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	Ethiopia - Tanzania	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Ethiopia - Guinea	0:3 ✺
12.10.24	Guinea - Ethiopia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LWLLL
- Egypt
African Nations Championship
09.03.25	Egypt - South Africa	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	South Africa - Egypt	1:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Egypt - Botswana	1:1 ✺
15.11.24	Cape Verde - Egypt	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Mauritania - Egypt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
08.09.23	Egypt - Ethiopia	1:0
09.06.22	Ethiopia - Egypt	2:0

Ethiopia - Egypt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide