Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 8

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex (Monrovia)

Referee: Malala Y. (Drc)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 1
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Ethiopia	ETV Ethiopia
Finland	Veikkaus TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Kenya	Gotv
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 1
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Sierra-leone	AYV
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Sierra Leone		Ethiopia

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.92	2.98	4.45
	1.97	2.98	4.51
	1.92	3.04	4.57	Watch
	2	3.1	4.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.37)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	4.46 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sierra Leone
48.2%

Draw
30.8%

Ethiopia
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sierra Leone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sierra Leone's performance.

Ethiopia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ethiopia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	31.2%	6.2%

Sierra Leone - Ethiopia Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sierra Leone will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Ethiopia will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sierra Leone: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sierra Leone (votes: 5 - 50%). Ethiopia (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Sierra Leone (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Sierra Leone (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Ethiopia (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sesay A. (G) Bhantal 12. Jalloh N. Kallon 5. Turay A. El Gouna 19. Samadia E. Hartford Athletic 18. Tarawallie S. Kallon 7. Kargbo A. Blackburn 21. Bah J. Nice 20. Bilili Sesay J. 17. Kamara M. Minnesota United 11. Bundu M. (C) Hannover 6. Fofanah S. Zhetysu Taldykorgan	1. Nuri A. (G) Ethiopian Insurance 2. Yusef R. 21. Tonjo A. 5. Sherefa H. Ethiopian Insurance 3. James R. Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 14. Worku A. Mechal SC 16. Baye Y. (C) 18. Gezahegn W. Ethiopian Insurance 9. Abera M. Ethiopian Insurance 7. Desta B. Mechal SC 17. Gugsa C. Bahir Dar Kenema
Substitutes
9. Buya Turay M. Zhetysu Taldykorgan 13. Dumbuya A. East End Lions 22. Dumbuya M. Kallon 16. Jalloh M. (G) VPS 15. Kabba M. B. Bo Rangers 2. Kakay O. FC Kosice 10. Kamara K. FC Cincinnati 4. Kamara M. Bai Bureh Warriors 14. Kamara M. N. Ports Authority 8. Koroma A. Al-Shahaniya 3. Sesay M. G. Kallon	4. Debebe M. Fasil Kenema 15. Gebreselassie N. Ethiopian Insurance 22. Genetu B. (G) Welayta Dicha 23. Getahun F. (G) Ethiopia Nigd Bank 11. Hamid S. Ethiopia Nigd Bank 12. Hottesa D. Welwalo Adigrat 19. Kassaye Y. Ethiopian Insurance 8. Markneh C. Shabab Al-Ghar 13. Reshid A. Dire Dawa 6. Tekeste H. Fasil Kenema 20. Wolde B. St. Georges
Coaches
Kallon M.	Teferi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Kamara M. ⚽, Tarawallie S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abera M. ↓, Wolde B. ↑,
46', Tonjo A. ↓, Reshid A. ↑,
46', Worku A. ↓, Markneh C. ↑,
64', Kargbo A. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
64', Bundu M. ↓, Koroma A. ↑,
70', Kamara M. ↓, Buya Turay M. ↑,
70', Desta B. ↓, Hamid S. ↑,
76', Gezahegn W. ↓, Hottesa D. ↑,
90+3', Samadia E. ↓, Kabba M. B. ↑,
90+3', Fofanah S. ↓, Kamara M. N. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, Koroma A. ⚽, Bah J. (A),

Preview

Sierra Leone is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sierra Leone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sierra Leone
FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Guinea Bissau - Sierra Leone	1:1 ✺
25.03.25	Egypt - Sierra Leone	1:0 ✺
20.03.25	Sierra Leone - Guinea Bissau	3:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Sierra Leone - Zambia	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Chad - Sierra Leone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLT
- Ethiopia
FIFA World Cup
05.09.25	Egypt - Ethiopia	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	Ethiopia - Djibouti	6:1 ✺
21.03.25	Ethiopia - Egypt	0:2 ✺
African Nations Championship
22.12.24	Ethiopia - Sudan	0:2 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	D.R. Congo - Ethiopia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
15.11.23	Ethiopia - Sierra Leone	0:0
Africa Cup of Nations
09.09.18	Ethiopia - Sierra Leone	1:0

Sierra Leone - Ethiopia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide