Match Info

National League Cup

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)


	Tamworth		Burnley U21

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.95	4.7
	1.6	4.05	4.72
	1.58	4.15	4.60	Watch
	1.6	4	4.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.58)	4.04 ↓ (4.15)	4.73 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
57.7%

Draw
22.8%

Burnley U21
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Burnley U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Tamworth - Burnley U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Phillips L. (G) 6. Bates A. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. (C) 2. Curley M. 15. Donkor K. 10. Enoru B. 27. Lynch O. 14. Mols S. 38. Ponticelli J. 12. Rye J. 4. Tonks T.	1. Forshaw L. (G) 5. Ashton J. 8. Brierley G. 9. Brown K. M. 2. Campbell M. (C) 11. Clark E. 4. Leuluai M. 6. McEvilly J. 3. Pimlott O. 10. Pouani B. 7. Veevers C.
Substitutes
35. Brown L. 9. Duku I. 26. Hollis H. 99. Maher R. 37. Nyakuhwa C. 7. Sayer H. 1. Singh J. (G)	12. Cooney O. (G) 16. Johnson Z. 17. Masara V. 15. Wetshi B. 14. Williams J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Enoru B. ⚽, Mols S. (A),
4', Enoru B. ↓, Sayer H. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Phillips L. ↓, Singh J. ↑,
59', Tonks T. ↓, Maher R. ↑,
63', Clark E. ↓, Johnson Z. ↑,
63', Pouani B. ↓, Masara V. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Sayer H. ⚽,
66', 3 - 0, Mols S. ⚽,
82', Brown K. M. ↓, Wetshi B. ↑,
82', Donkor K. ↓, Brown L. ↑,
82', Mols S. ↓, Nyakuhwa C. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Lynch O. ⚽,
85', Campbell M. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Tamworth is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Burnley U21 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Burnley U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tamworth is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Tamworth will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
18.10.25	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Tamworth - Hyde United	1:0 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Tamworth - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Altrincham - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTWT
- Burnley U21
English Premier League Cup
17.10.25	Burnley U21 - Stockport County U21	3:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
05.10.25	Burnley U21 - Chelsea U21	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Burnley U21 - Sunderland U21	0:3 ✺
English Premier League Cup
23.09.25	Cardiff City U21 - Burnley U21	1:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
19.09.25	Southampton U21 - Burnley U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWL

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