Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Liri Ballabani Stadium (Burrel)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Burreli		Skënderbeu Korçë

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.65	1.52
	4.44	4.18	1.54
	4.85	4.48	1.49	Watch
	5.81	4.15	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (5)	4.12 ↑ (3.58)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burreli
17.5%

Draw
22.1%

Skënderbeu Korçë
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

25.4%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

24.4%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burreli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Skënderbeu Korçë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Burreli aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (-2%)

Burreli - Skënderbeu Korçë Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Burreli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Skënderbeu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Skënderbeu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Skënderbeu is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Burreli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Burreli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Burreli	4	1	2	1	5:6	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Burreli - the odds 5 are the expected chance of winning is 18.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Burreli
Albanian First Division
04.04.26	Laçi - Burreli	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Burreli - Pogradeci	0:3 ✺
18.03.26	Kastrioti - Burreli	5:2 ✺
14.03.26	Burreli - Kukësi	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Burreli - Iliria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTT
- Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian First Division
04.04.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	AF Elbasani - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:1 ✺
Albanian First Division
22.03.26	Besa Kavajë - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Korabi Peshkopi	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Apolonia Fier - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
23.08.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Burreli	3:0
04.03.23	Burreli - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:0

Burreli - Skënderbeu Korçë: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide