Match Info
Kategoria e Parë - Round 27Date: 18 March 2026, WednesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Kastrioti |
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Burreli |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.12 |
3.05 |
3.15 |
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 |
3.59 |
3.70 |
1.82 |
 Watch |
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3.66 |
3.1 |
2.02 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.22) |
3.28 ↑
(3.1) |
2.33 ↓
(3.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kastrioti
30.4% | Draw
28.9% | Burreli
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kastrioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kastrioti's form might have worsened.Burreli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burreli's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kastrioti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burreli than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burreli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Kastrioti - Burreli Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Kastrioti will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Burreli will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burreli (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Kapllani D. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, Mellugja D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', 2 - 1, Kapllani D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 73', 3 - 1, Kasmollari O. ⚽,
- 80', 4 - 1, Kapllani D. ⚽,
- 81', 5 - 1, Kasmollari O. ⚽,
- 90+1', 5 - 2, Xhabrahimi A. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 1.Kastrioti has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Burreli has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Kastrioti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Kastrioti | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Burreli | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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