Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 30

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Bury Town		Quorn

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	2.7
	2.1	3.35	2.98
	2.25	3.49	2.83
	2.27	3.5	2.91	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.27	3.71	2.78
	2.28	3.33	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.33)	3.42 ↓ (3.73)	2.82 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bury Town
41%

Draw
26.7%

Quorn
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

24.9%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

24%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Quorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quorn than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Bury Town - Quorn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, McGrath J. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Cobourne S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
49', 2 - 1, McGrath J. ⚽,
51', 3 - 1, Canfer O. ⚽,
60', 4 - 1, McGrath J. ⚽,
68', 4 - 2, Goodson Z. ⚽,
75', 4 - 3, Goodson Z. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 4 - 4, Goodson Z. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Bury Town is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Quorn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bury Town won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bury Town: 3.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bury Town	9	8	0	1	18:8	10	24

Last Results with these Odds

Bury Town - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
28.02.26	Stratford Town - Bury Town	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Bury Town - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Banbury United - Bury Town	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Royston Town - Bury Town	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Bury Town - Leiston	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTLWT
- Quorn
English Southern League Central Division
28.02.26	St Ives Town - Quorn	1:4 ✺
21.02.26	Halesowen Town - Quorn	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Quorn - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Quorn - Stamford	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Quorn - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
18.10.25	Quorn - Bury Town	2:0

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