Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 31

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Banbury United		Bury Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.31	3.25	2.9
	2.28	3.4	2.97	Watch
	2.25	3	2.8
	1.94	3.4	3.43
	2.33	3.25	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.95)	3.23 ↓ (3.47)	2.97 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banbury United
41%

Draw
28.2%

Bury Town
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

24.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banbury United's form might have worsened.

Bury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banbury United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bury Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Banbury United - Bury Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Flanagan J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

Banbury has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bury Town is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bury Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Banbury could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Banbury won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Banbury won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bury Town: 3.59% Banbury: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bury Town	9	8	0	1	18:8	10	24
19	Banbury	9	1	3	5	9:16	-7	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
31.01.26	Banbury United - Barwell	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Banbury United - St Ives Town	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Spalding United - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Worcester City - Banbury United	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Stourbridge - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WWWWT
- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
10.02.26	Royston Town - Bury Town	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Bury Town - Leiston	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	St Ives Town - Bury Town	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Alvechurch - Bury Town	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Bury Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
01.11.25	Bury Town - Banbury United	2:1
English FA Cup
24.10.20	Banbury United - Bury Town	2:1

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