Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 32

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Bury Town		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	2.58
	2.99	3.28	2.17
	2.77	3.29	2.44	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.4
	2.53	3.3	2.41
	3	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3)	3.29 ↓ (3.5)	2.35 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bury Town
33.7%

Draw
27.7%

Needham Market
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26.2%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

26%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Bury Town - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, McGrath J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 1, Chambers S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6).

Bury Town is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Needham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Needham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bury Town has had a series of away games.

Recently, Needham has had a series of home games.

Needham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bury Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Bury Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bury Town: 3.59% Needham Market: 0.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bury Town	9	8	0	1	18:8	10	24
9	Needham Market	9	4	1	4	18:16	2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.02.26	Banbury United - Bury Town	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Royston Town - Bury Town	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Bury Town - Leiston	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	St Ives Town - Bury Town	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Alvechurch - Bury Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTWW
- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
14.02.26	Needham Market - Halesowen Town	3:0 ✺
03.02.26	Needham Market - Sudbury Town	4:2 ✺
31.01.26	Needham Market - Kettering Town	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Stamford - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Needham Market - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
22.10.25	Needham Market - Bury Town	4:2
Club Friendly
27.07.21	Bury Town - Needham Market	3:1
08.09.20	Needham Market - Bury Town	3:1

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