Match Info

K League 2 - Round 15

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Busan I Park		Chungnam Asan

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.40	4.10	Watch
	1.71	3.30	4.20
	1.86	3.40	3.60
	1.77	3.83	4.69
	1.86	3.57	4.06	Watch
	1.73	3.40	4.00
	1.72	3.54	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)	3.49 ↓ (3.59)	4.13 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
51.5%

Draw
26.3%

Chungnam Asan
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Chungnam Asan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chungnam Asan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan Predictions

Users Predictions: Busan I Park will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 20. Kim Hee-Seung 77. Jang Ho-Ik 5. Woo Ju-Seong 47. Son Hwi 97. Son J. 6. Lee Dong-Su 10. Gabriel Honorio 99. Cristian Renato 8. Kim Min-Hyeok	18. Shin Song-Hoon (G) 14. Park Seong-Woo 3. Lee Ho-In 55. Jang Jun-Yeong 25. Park J. 24. Park Se-Jik 33. Kim Hye-seong 10. Son Jun-Ho 77. Park S. 97. Lokolingoy C. 11. Denisson Silva
Substitutes
11. Ahn Hyun-Beom 44. Choi Dong-ryeol 22. Choi Ye-Hoon 80. Gutemberg 9. Kim Chan 21. Kim Dong-Wook 4. Kim J. 66. Kim Se-Hoon 34. Park Ji-Min (G)	20. Choi Bo-Kyung 8. Choi Chi-Won 7. Han Kyo-Won 88. Jung S. 21. Kim Jin-Young (G) 9. Kim Jong-Min 17. Kim Ju-Sung 13. Kim Young-Nam 84. Mohammed N.
Coaches
Cho S.	Gaspar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Kim Min-Hyeok ⚽, Son Hwi (A),
12', 2 - 0, Son Hwi ⚽,
21', Park J. 🟨,
23', Jang Jun-Yeong 🟨,
26', 2 - 1, Denisson Silva ⚽, Son Jun-Ho (A),
29', 2 - 2, Denisson Silva ⚽, Son Jun-Ho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Son J. ↓, Kim Se-Hoon ↑,
49', Park Seong-Woo ↓, Kim Ju-Sung ↑,
65', Park S. ↓, Mohammed N. ↑,
67', Son Hwi ↓, Kim Chan ↑,
71', Kim Min-Hyeok 🟨,
78', Denisson Silva ↓, Han Kyo-Won ↑,
78', Park Se-Jik ↓, Jung S. ↑,
85', Lee Dong-Su ↓, Kim Dong-Wook ↑,
85', Kim Se-Hoon ↓, Gutemberg ↑,
86', Lokolingoy C. ↓, Kim Jong-Min ↑,
90', Kim Ju-Sung 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chungnam Asan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Busan I Park is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan I Park won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41
8	Asan	25	9	7	9	34:31	3	34

Last Results with these Odds

Busan I Park - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.25%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
30.05.26	Busan I Park - Paju Frontier	4:1 ✺
17.05.26	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Gimhae - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Suwon Bluewings - Busan I Park	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL
- Chungnam Asan
South Korean K-League 2
30.05.26	Chungnam Asan - Suwon Bluewings	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Yongin - Chungnam Asan	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Chungnam Asan - Suwon	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Chungnam Asan - Seoul E-Land	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Cheonan City - Chungnam Asan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
08.11.25	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	0:3
24.08.25	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	0:1
04.05.25	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	2:0
18.08.24	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	0:1
16.06.24	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	0:0
11.05.24	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	2:3
21.10.23	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	1:2

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