Match Info

K League 2 - Round 12

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Hwaseong Stadium (Hwaseong)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports
World	K League TV


	Hwaseong		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.15	Watch
	3.15	3.05	2.22
	3.54	3.13	2.28
	3.37	3.14	2.23	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.33	2.95	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.42)	3.03 ↑ (2.97)	2.21 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
28.1%

Draw
30.3%

Busan I Park
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

31.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

30.1%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Hwaseong - Busan I Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Busan I Park will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim S. (G) 20. Park Jun-seo 15. Vojnovic A. 4. Jang Min-jun 22. Kim D. 13. Park Jae-Seong 8. Jeon S. (C) 17. Park Kyung-Min 11. Pllana L. 14. Kim Byung-Oh 7. Jegal Jae-Min	1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 4. Kim J. 20. Kim Hee-Seung 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 66. Kim Se-Hoon 6. Lee Dong-Su 97. Son J. 13. Kim Hyun-Min 10. Gabriel Honorio 99. Cristian Renato
Substitutes
3. Cho Dong-Jae 10. Demethryus 44. Ham Sun-Woo 99. Kim Beom-hwan 6. Kim Jung-Min 30. Mun Geon-Ho 38. Park E. (G) 9. Petrov S. 5. Yang Si-Hoo	18. Baek Ga-On 80. Gutemberg 19. Hong Uk-Hyeon 21. Kim Dong-Wook 88. Park Hye-seong 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 47. Son Hwi 5. Woo Ju-Seong 7. Xavier
Coaches
Cha Du-Ri	Cho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Jegal Jae-Min ⚽, Kim Byung-Oh (A),
21', 2 - 0, Jegal Jae-Min ⚽, Kim D. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Gabriel Honorio ⚽, Lee Dong-Su (A),
36', 2 - 2, Cristian Renato ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Park Kyung-Min ↓, Ham Sun-Woo ↑,
62', Son J. ↓, Park Hye-seong ↑,
62', Kim Hyun-Min ↓, Gutemberg ↑,
62', Jegal Jae-Min ↓, Mun Geon-Ho ↑,
62', Kim Byung-Oh ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Petrov S. ⚽,
82', Kim Se-Hoon ↓, Woo Ju-Seong ↑,
85', Pllana L. ↓, Demethryus ↑,
85', Jeon S. ↓, Kim Jung-Min ↑,
88', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
88', Cristian Renato ↓, Xavier ↑,
89', Xavier 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Hwaseong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hwaseong has had a series of home games.

Busan I Park might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hwaseong won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hwaseong won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hwaseong	26	12	8	6	41:27	14	44
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
09.05.26	Hwaseong - Suwon	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Hwaseong - Ansan Greeners	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Seoul E-Land - Hwaseong	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Hwaseong - Gimpo	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Hwaseong - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWWTW
- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
10.05.26	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Gimhae - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Suwon Bluewings - Busan I Park	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Busan I Park - Suwon	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Busan I Park - Yongin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
28.09.25	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	1:1
19.07.25	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	1:0
27.04.25	Busan I Park - Hwaseong	3:2
South Korean Cup
01.07.20	Busan I Park - Hwaseong	4:0

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