Match Info

K League 2 - Round 30

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports, Maxports
World	K League TV


	Busan I Park		Jeonnam Dragons

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3	Watch
	2.15	3.35	3
	2.29	3.52	3.08
	2.09	3.32	3.45	Watch
	2.24	3.34	2.98	Watch
	2.18	3.52	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.12)	3.41 ↓ (3.6)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
42.7%

Draw
27.3%

Jeonnam Dragons
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.2%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Jeonnam Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Busan I Park - Jeonnam Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jeonnam Dragons will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Jeonnam Dragons (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jeonnam Dragons (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Cho Wi-Je 3. Oh Ban-Suk 88. Kim Se-Hoon 6. Lee Dong-Su 7. Xavier 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 10. Fessin 9. Gonzalo Fornari 11. Villero P.	1. Choi Bong-Jin (G) 3. Kim Ye-Sung 2. Yoo Ji-Ha 23. Kim Kyeong-Jae 95. Choi Jung-Won 13. Kim Yong-Hwan 10. Valdivia (C) 16. Alberti J. 24. Park Sang-Jun 50. Lebon K. 19. Ronan
Substitutes
29. Choi Gi-Yun 4. Jeong Ho-Keun 37. Kim Dong-Wook 23. Park Chang-Woo 21. Park Dae-Han (G) 47. Son Hwi 32. Yun Min-Ho	36. Ahn J. M. 77. Choi Han-Sol 9. Ha Nam 11. Jeong Ji-Yong 4. Ku Hyun-Jun 21. Lee Jun (G) 6. Yang Ji-Hoon
Coaches
Cho S.	Kim Hyun-seok

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Kim Ye-Sung (Own goal),
29', 1 - 1, Ronan ⚽, Valdivia (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Park Sang-Jun ↓, Choi Han-Sol ↑,
55', Kim Se-Hoon ↓, Park Chang-Woo ↑,
55', Gonzalo Fornari ↓, Yun Min-Ho ↑,
69', Alberti J. 🟨,
71', Ronan ↓, Ha Nam ↑,
71', Kim Yong-Hwan ↓, Ahn J. M. ↑,
74', Lebon K. ↓, Jeong Ji-Yong ↑,
76', Jeon Seung-Jin 🟨,
85', Villero P. ↓, Choi Gi-Yun ↑,
87', Valdivia ↓, Yang Ji-Hoon ↑,
90+4', Lee Dong-Su ↓, Son Hwi ↑,
90+5', Jeon Seung-Jin ↓, Kim Dong-Wook ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 3.

Busan I Park has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Jeonnam Dragons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Jeonnam Dragons has had a series of home games.

Busan I Park will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan I Park won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.3:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Busan I Park - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.42%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
14.09.25	Ansan Greeners - Busan I Park	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Busan I Park - Cheongju	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Cheonan City - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTWW
- Jeonnam Dragons
South Korean K-League 2
14.09.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Hwaseong	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Seoul E-Land	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Gimpo - Jeonnam Dragons	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Ansan Greeners	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Bucheon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
15.06.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	0:1
05.04.25	Busan I Park - Jeonnam Dragons	0:1
21.11.24	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	0:0
15.09.24	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	1:2
20.07.24	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	2:3
07.04.24	Busan I Park - Jeonnam Dragons	0:1
12.11.23	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	3:0

Upcoming Matches