Match Info

K League 2 - Round 28

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Paju Stadium (Paju) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
South Korea	14:00	Coupang Play
International	05:00	K League TV


	Paju Frontier		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.30	3.30	1.93
	3.35	3.35	1.98
	3.62	3.68	2.01
	3.49	3.55	2.02	Watch
	3.55	3.6	1.99
	3.47	3.42	2.05	Watch
	3.35	3.35	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	3.44 ↓ (3.62)	1.99 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
26.9%

Draw
26.8%

Busan I Park
46.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

25.8%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

24.1%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Paju Frontier - Busan I Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paju Frontier will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Busan I Park will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ryu Won-Woo (C) 34. Noh S. 81. Kim Min-Ho 4. Kim Hyun-Tae 5. Sim Min-Yong 88. Lee Taek-Geun 19. You Jae-jun 8. Choi Bum-Kyung 7. Walterson Silva 18. Lee Jea-Ho 92. Baston B.	1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 55. Kwon Jun-seong 2. Akhadov O. 20. Kim Hee-Seung 11. Ahn Hyun-Beom (C) 97. Son J. 7. Xavier 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 66. Kim Se-Hoon 10. Gabriel Honorio 47. Son Hwi
Substitutes
70. Ahn June Hyuk 40. Amos L. 33. Bonilla J. 6. Cheon Hyeon-Byung 20. Hong Jeong-un 13. Kim Min-seung (G) 10. Lee Joon-Suk 22. Lee Min-Ki 14. Seo Dong-Han	18. Baek Ga-On 3. Cho Dong-Jae 21. Kim Dong-Wook 4. Kim J. 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 6. Lee Dong-Su 42. Lee H. 88. Park Hye-seong 34. Park Ji-Min (G)
Coaches
Pereira M.	Cho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Baston B. 🟨,
41', Kim Hyun-Tae 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Son Hwi ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
46', Kim Hyun-Tae ↓, Hong Jeong-un ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Kim Se-Hoon ⚽, Baek Ga-On (A),
61', You Jae-jun ↓, Lee Min-Ki ↑,
61', Walterson Silva ↓, Lee Joon-Suk ↑,
79', Koo Sang-Min 🟨,
81', Kim Se-Hoon ↓, Park Hye-seong ↑,
81', Akhadov O. ↓, Kim J. ↑,
82', Kim Min-Ho ↓, Bonilla J. ↑,
87', Lee Taek-Geun ↓, Ahn June Hyuk ↑,
90+1', Xavier ↓, Kim Min-Hyeok ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Baston B. ⚽, Lee Joon-Suk (A),
90+3', Son J. ↓, Cho Dong-Jae ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 6th in the Promotion - K League 2 Playoffs).

Paju Frontier has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Busan I Park has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Busan I Park holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Paju Frontier has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Busan	29	14	6	9	47:37	10	48
12	Paju Frontier	28	8	7	13	27:34	-7	31

Last Results with these Odds

Paju Frontier - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.48%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Busan I Park - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.71%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K-League 2
20.09.26	Gimhae - Paju Frontier	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Paju Frontier - Daegu	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gyeongnam - Paju Frontier	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Seoul E-Land - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Paju Frontier - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WTLTW
- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
19.09.26	Gimpo - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Busan I Park - Gimhae	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Busan I Park - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Suwon - Busan I Park	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Daegu - Busan I Park	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
30.05.26	Busan I Park - Paju Frontier	4:1

Upcoming Matches