Match Info

K League 2 - Round 1

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
World	K League TV


	Busan I Park		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.88	2.75	Watch
	2.58	2.88	2.82
	2.75	2.86	3.03
	2.83	2.79	2.83	Watch
	2.6	2.7	2.8
	2.58	2.7	2.84	Watch
	2.63	2.88	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.7)	2.81 ↓ (3.17)	2.81 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
34.8%

Draw
32.6%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

29.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	54.5%	9.1%

Busan I Park - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Busan I Park will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Seongnam will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Seongnam (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Seongnam (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 11. Ahn Hyun-Beom 5. Woo Ju-Seong 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 10. Gabriel Honorio 6. Lee Dong-Su 7. Xavier 13. Kim Hyun-Min 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 99. Cristian Renato	1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 23. You Ju-An 20. Lee Sang-Min 4. Venicio (C) 22. Jung Seung-Yong 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 14. Elionay 16. Ryu Jun-sun 52. Fujimori R. 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 21. Park Sang-Hyeok
Substitutes
18. Baek Ga-On 22. Choi Ye-Hoon 9. Kim Chan 20. Kim Hee-Seung 4. Kim J. 66. Kim Se-Hoon 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 47. Son Hwi 97. Son J.	2. Hwang Seok-Ki 28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 36. Lee Jae-Wook 94. Lee Ji-Hoon 11. Lee Jun-Sang 33. Park Su-bin 19. Yang Tae-yang 32. Yun Min-Ho 5. Yu Sun
Coaches
Cho S.	Jeon Kyung-jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Cristian Renato ⚽, Gabriel Honorio (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Rodrigo Angelotti ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Xavier ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
49', Ahn Hyun-Beom 🟨,
56', Lee Dong-Su 🟨,
60', Ryu Jun-sun ↓, Park Su-bin ↑,
68', Kim Hyun-Min ↓, Kim Chan ↑,
74', Lee Jeong-Bin ↓, Yun Min-Ho ↑,
87', Elionay 🟨,
88', Lee Dong-Su ↓, Son J. ↑,
90', Park Sang-Hyeok ↓, Lee Ji-Hoon ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 1.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan I Park won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41
10	Seongnam	25	7	10	8	28:30	-2	31

Last Results with these Odds

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.93%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
23.11.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Incheon United - Busan I Park	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Busan I Park - Gimpo	4:1 ✺
19.10.25	Seoul E-Land - Busan I Park	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTWL
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
30.11.25	Bucheon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0 ✺
27.11.25	Seoul E-Land - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
23.11.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	2:1
12.07.25	Busan I Park - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0
24.05.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	0:0
01.09.24	Busan I Park - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:1
29.06.24	Busan I Park - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:2
19.05.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	0:1
16.09.23	Busan I Park - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:0

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