Match Info

Date: 2 August 2020, Sunday


	Busan I Park		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
	6.25	4	1.53	Watch
	5.25	3.9	1.53	Watch
	5.5	4.1	1.52
	5.6	4.1	1.53
	6.04	4.23	1.55
	6	4.2	1.5
	6.6	4.45	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.89 ↑ (4.81)	4.14 ↑ (3.72)	1.54 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
16%

Draw
22.7%

Ulsan HD
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

25.2%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

20.6%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulsan HD's recent form is better than expected.

The ML Model estimate for Busan I Park aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulsan HD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.2%	10.8%	73%

Busan I Park - Ulsan HD Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Busan I Park will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). Ulsan will win (votes: 27 - 73%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 58.7% – 87.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean Cup
29.07.20	Busan I Park - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:5 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.20	Daegu - Busan I Park	3:0 ✺
18.07.20	Busan I Park - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.20	Suwon - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
10.07.20	Busan I Park - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTWW
- Ulsan HD
South Korean Cup
29.07.20	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	3:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
25.07.20	Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD	1:5 ✺
19.07.20	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.20	Ulsan HD - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
12.07.20	Daegu - Ulsan HD	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
24.05.20	Ulsan HD - Busan I Park	1:1
South Korean Cup
08.08.18	Busan I Park - Ulsan HD	0:2
02.12.17	Ulsan HD - Busan I Park	0:0
29.11.17	Busan I Park - Ulsan HD	1:2
South Korean K-League 1
28.11.15	Ulsan HD - Busan I Park	2:1
16.08.15	Busan I Park - Ulsan HD	2:2
03.06.15	Busan I Park - Ulsan HD	1:0

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