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Current Win Probability
Nasaf Qarshi 59.5%
Draw 23.7%
Sogdiana Jizzakh 16.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.1%
26.8%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
26.1%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Sogdiana Jizzakh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogdiana Jizzakh than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Nasaf Qarshi - Sogdiana Jizzakh Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nasaf (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nematov A. (G) 4. Komilov A. 2. Davronov A. 5. Gaybullaev G. 92. Eshmurodov U. 70. Gulomov A. 15. Rustamov O. 77. Ghudushauri P. 17. Rakhmatov M. 6. Bakhromov S. 10. Abdikholikov B.
27. Mitrovic M. (G) 3. Kobilov I. 2. Dzhuraboev Z. 4. Dzhumatov B. 13. Ivanovic F. 17. Karimov O. 6. Askarov B. 7. Micin P. 77. Nurmatov O. 28. Mavlonkulov S. 14. Doriev L.
Substitutes
8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 22. Abdunazarov D. 14. Mukhitdinov S. 21. Muratbaev S. (G) 23. Murtazoyev D. 20. Otubanjo Y. 76. Sadullayev Z. 7. Shala A. 32. Xushvaqtov Q.
8. Boltaboev J. 49. Jamolov S. 10. Kakhramonov J. 50. Kamolov S. 15. Mustafokulov K. 74. Nadzhafaliev B. (G) 29. Saidov A. 19. Urinboev Z. 9. Zajmovic D.
Coaches
Berdiev R.
Bakaev U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Abdikholikov B. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 2 - 0, Ghudushauri P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nurmatov O. ↓, Kakhramonov J. ↑,
46', Mavlonkulov S. ↓, Urinboev Z. ↑,
46', Askarov B. ↓, Boltaboev J. ↑,
63', Bakhromov S. ↓, Mukhitdinov S. ↑,
63', Gulomov A. ↓, Shala A. ↑,
67', Micin P. ↓, Zajmovic D. ↑,
72', Dzhumatov B. ↓, Jamolov S. ↑,
79', Ghudushauri P. ↓, Abdirakhmatov Z. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Jamolov S. ⚽,
90', Davronov A. 🟨,
90+2', Nematov A. 🟨,
90+3', Rustamov O. ↓, Xushvaqtov Q. ↑,
90+3', Abdikholikov B. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 3.
In recent outings, Nasaf has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sogdiana is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Nasaf could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Nasaf carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nasaf has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:13 (averaging 1.5:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nasaf against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:4 goals (averaging 1.6:0.5 per game).