Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Buxoro FA Stadioni (Bukhara)

Referee: Choriyev R. (Uzb)


	Buxoro		Sogdiana Jizzakh

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.15	2.92
	2.85	3.43	2.43
	2.47	3.33	2.62	Watch
	2.25	3	2.88
	2.3	3.33	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.26)	3.25 ↓ (3.28)	2.77 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxoro
38.2%

Draw
28.4%

Sogdiana Jizzakh
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sogdiana Jizzakh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogdiana Jizzakh than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Buxoro - Sogdiana Jizzakh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Khamroev U. (G) 25. Esanov S. 2. Filipovic V. 6. Khayrullaev R. 11. Mamasidikov T. 7. Mukhtorov K. 78. Rodic V. 17. Ruziev J. 42. Todorov K. 10. Ubaydullaev S. 27. Yuldoshev M.	18. Mirkovic N. (G) 22. Abdurashidov A. 4. Akhadov O. 14. Doriev L. 2. Dzhuraboev Z. 10. Kakhramonov J. 17. Karimov O. 3. Kobilov I. 9. Mulic F. 29. Saidov A. 32. Soyibov N.
Substitutes
4. Ahmadjonov N. 21. Basheleishvili M. 88. Begic D. 8. Juraev A. 77. Kayumov A. 14. Khayrullaev A. 5. Kulmatov S. 70. Mahmadaminov O. 34. Meliyev	7. Boljevic A. 42. Erkinov S. 8. Izzatov S. 70. Jaloliddinov J. 11. Jurakuziev O. 23. Khoshimov S. 74. Nadzhafaliev B. (G) 77. Nurmatov O. 21. Tukhtasinov T.
Coaches
Khomyakov A.	Bakaev U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Mamasidikov T. ⚽, Rodic V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Saidov A. ↓, Jaloliddinov J. ↑,
46', Soyibov N. ↓, Erkinov S. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Esanov S. ⚽, Mamasidikov T. (A),
60', 2 - 1, Jaloliddinov J. ⚽,
62', Khayrullaev R. 🟨,
65', Erkinov S. 🟨,
65', Kakhramonov J. ↓, Jurakuziev O. ↑,
73', Rodic V. ↓, Kayumov A. ↑,
75', Abdurashidov A. ↓, Nurmatov O. ↑,
75', Boljevic A. ↓, Khoshimov S. ↑,
81', Ruziev J. ↓, Juraev A. ↑,
81', Ubaydullaev S. ↓, Begic D. ↑,
88', Mamasidikov T. ↓, Mahmadaminov O. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxoro won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Buxoro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Buxoro won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Buxoro won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Buxoro	22	10	4	8	32:29	3	34
11	Sogdiana	22	8	4	10	38:43	-5	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Buxoro
Uzbek League
27.04.26	Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Buxoro - Pakhtakor	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	AGMK - Buxoro	3:2 ✺
13.04.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Buxoro - Qizilqum	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLTW
- Sogdiana Jizzakh
Uzbek League
28.04.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Surkhon Termez	5:2 ✺
23.04.26	Navbahor Namangan - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Bunyodkor	2:3 ✺
13.04.26	Qizilqum - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:3 ✺
08.04.26	Dinamo Samarqand - Sogdiana Jizzakh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
23.10.25	Buxoro - Sogdiana Jizzakh	2:0
Uzbek Cup
25.09.25	Buxoro - Sogdiana Jizzakh	3:2 ET
Uzbek League
24.05.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Buxoro	1:1
04.11.23	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Buxoro	1:0
19.05.23	Buxoro - Sogdiana Jizzakh	0:2
29.10.20	Buxoro - Sogdiana Jizzakh	2:5
17.08.19	Buxoro - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:1

Buxoro - Sogdiana Jizzakh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide