Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Buxoro FA Stadioni (Bukhara)

Referee: Rahmonov D. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	Futbol TV


	Buxoro		Pakhtakor

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.7	1.55
	5.54	3.69	1.63
	4.96	3.62	1.64	Watch
	4.8	3.5	1.57
	5.49	3.62	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.19 ↓ (5.67)	3.63 ↓ (3.98)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxoro
17.6%

Draw
25.2%

Pakhtakor
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

23.1%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

22.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxoro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Buxoro - Pakhtakor Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Buxoro will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Pakhtakor will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Khamroev U. (G) 97. Jurabekov S. 2. Filipovic V. 30. Mladjovic B. 7. Mukhtorov K. (C) 17. Ruziev J. 22. Joraboev A. 6. Khayrullaev R. 78. Rodic V. 10. Ubaydullaev S. 11. Mamasidikov T.	35. Kuvvatov S. (G) 7. Alizhonov K. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 4. Tahseen Z. 34. Nasrullaev S. 10. Mozgovoy A. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. (C) 23. Buriev A. 11. Erkinov K. 17. Khamdamov D. 21. Resan B.
Substitutes
1. Abdullaev S. (G) 88. Begic D. 8. Juraev A. 9. Kacharava N. 77. Kayumov A. 14. Khayrullaev A. 5. Kulmatov S. 42. Todorov K. 27. Yuldoshev M.	20. Abdullaev D. 3. Azmiddinov S. 77. Bozorov O. 50. Flamarion 9. Ibrokhimov I. 5. Khamraliev M. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 19. Parzyszek P. 8. Saitov D.
Coaches
Khomyakov A.	Tadzhiev K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Resan B. ⚽,
20', Kuvvatov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mamasidikov T. ↓, Begic D. ↑,
46', Filipovic V. ↓, Kacharava N. ↑,
51', Mukhtorov K. 🟨,
51', Abdumazhidov M. 🟨,
59', Mukhtorov K. ↓, Yuldoshev M. ↑,
71', Erkinov K. ↓, Saitov D. ↑,
74', Ruziev J. ↓, Juraev A. ↑,
75', Juraev A. 🟨,
80', Khamdamov D. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
80', Sobirkhuzhaev S. ↓, Khamraliev M. ↑,
84', Rodic V. ↓, Kayumov A. ↑,
85', Resan B. ↓, Flamarion ↑,
85', Begic D. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxoro won 0.

Recent performances by Buxoro have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pakhtakor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Pakhtakor is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buxoro won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 7:49. (average 0.4:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Buxoro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:24. (average 0.3:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pakhtakor	22	14	7	1	39:20	19	49
7	Buxoro	22	10	4	8	32:29	3	34

Last Results with these Odds

Pakhtakor - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.61%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Buxoro
Uzbek League
17.04.26	AGMK - Buxoro	3:2 ✺
13.04.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Buxoro - Qizilqum	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Surkhon Termez - Buxoro	3:1 ✺
19.03.26	Buxoro - Dinamo Samarqand	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWLW
- Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbek League
18.04.26	Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand	4:2 ✺
13.04.26	Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Pakhtakor - AGMK	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Pakhtakor	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek Cup
29.10.25	Pakhtakor - Buxoro	1:0
Uzbek League
04.10.25	Buxoro - Pakhtakor	0:4
10.05.25	Pakhtakor - Buxoro	6:0
29.10.23	Buxoro - Pakhtakor	0:1
13.05.23	Pakhtakor - Buxoro	1:0
05.09.20	Buxoro - Pakhtakor	0:4
08.03.20	Pakhtakor - Buxoro	3:0

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