Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 21

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Buxton		Bradford Park Avenue

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.84	3.35	3.7
	1.92	3.5	3.45
	1.98	3.4	3.56
	1.91	3.3	3.6
	1.91	3.52	3.5
	1.92	3.5	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.88)	3.42 ↑ (3.33)	3.54 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
47.7%

Draw
26.6%

Bradford Park Avenue
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

21.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Bradford Park Avenue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buxton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bradford Park Avenue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Buxton - Bradford Park Avenue Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Buxton will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Bradford PA will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Bradford Park Avenue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Buxton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Buxton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Buxton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English FA Cup
27.11.22	Ipswich Town - Buxton	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Blyth Spartans - Buxton	4:2 ✺
English National League North
15.11.22	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	0:1 ✺
12.11.22	Buxton - Banbury United	0:4 ✺
08.11.22	Gloucester City - Buxton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLLW
- Bradford Park Avenue
English National League North
26.11.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Boston United	2:1 ✺
22.11.22	Banbury United - Bradford Park Avenue	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Farsley	1:2 ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	Alfreton Town - Bradford Park Avenue	0:0 ✺
07.11.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Peterborough Sports	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
08.12.15	Buxton - Bradford Park Avenue	1:2

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