Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 19

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Alfreton Town		Bradford Park Avenue

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.75	5.25
	1.62	3.7	4.5
	1.53	3.75	5.4
	1.59	3.72	5.16
	1.6	3.6	5
	1.55	3.8	5.4
	1.53	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.71)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	5.16 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
58.1%

Draw
24.4%

Bradford Park Avenue
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

24.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

24.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Alfreton Town - Bradford Park Avenue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Alfreton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alfreton have a series of guest games.

In this match Alfreton is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfreton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
08.11.22	Darlington - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
01.11.22	Boston United - Alfreton Town	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	AFC Telford United - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
25.10.22	Alfreton Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	Blyth Spartans - Alfreton Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWT
- Bradford Park Avenue
English National League North
07.11.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Peterborough Sports	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	Chester - Bradford Park Avenue	1:0 ✺
31.10.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
29.10.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
25.10.22	Blyth Spartans - Bradford Park Avenue	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.02.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Alfreton Town	5:0
30.10.21	Alfreton Town - Bradford Park Avenue	5:1
07.11.20	Bradford Park Avenue - Alfreton Town	2:0
17.08.19	Alfreton Town - Bradford Park Avenue	4:0
30.03.19	Bradford Park Avenue - Alfreton Town	1:1
29.09.18	Alfreton Town - Bradford Park Avenue	0:1
10.03.18	Bradford Park Avenue - Alfreton Town	3:3

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