Match Info

National League North - Round 45

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Tameside Stadium (Ashton-under-Lyne)


	Curzon Ashton		Buxton

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	1.83
	3.3	3.7	1.92
	3.66	3.87	1.93
	3.47	4.02	1.88	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.91
	3.66	3.7	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)	3.77 ↓ (4.22)	1.88 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
26.5%

Draw
24.5%

Buxton
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

22%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

21.3%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Curzon Ashton - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Kirby C. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Burton K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 3, Coleman C. ⚽,
72', 0 - 4, Johnston J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 3.

Curzon Ashton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Buxton is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Buxton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Buxton could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Curzon Ashton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Buxton: 4.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Buxton	10	5	1	4	18:18	0	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
11.04.26	Chorley - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Curzon Ashton - Southport	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Radcliffe - Curzon Ashton	3:3 ✺
28.03.26	Curzon Ashton - Chester	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	King`s Lynn Town - Curzon Ashton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLTLT
- Buxton FC
English National League North
14.04.26	Alfreton Town - Buxton	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Worksop Town - Buxton	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Buxton - Macclesfield Town	2:4 ✺
28.03.26	Hereford - Buxton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.08.25	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	2:3
22.02.25	Curzon Ashton - Buxton	1:0
05.10.24	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	0:1
03.02.24	Curzon Ashton - Buxton	0:3
19.08.23	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	1:1
07.01.23	Curzon Ashton - Buxton	2:1
13.08.22	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	1:0

Upcoming Matches