The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chorley 60.7%
Draw 22.4%
Gloucester City 16.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.6%
22.9%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
22.2%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
96.2%
0%
3.8%
Chorley - Gloucester City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Chorley will win
(25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%). Confidence interval (95%): 88.75% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chorley won 3.
Chorley is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Gloucester is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Chorley is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Chorley to win the game is with odds 1.53.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Chorley won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-6.