Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 31

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Bishops Stortford		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.2
	2.85	3.4	2.3
	2.79	3.45	2.23
	3.15	3.33	2.27
	2.6	3.4	2.3
	2.96	3.4	2.24
	2.85	3.3	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.56)	3.36 ↓ (3.58)	2.25 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bishops Stortford
32.1%

Draw
27.2%

Gloucester City
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

24.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bishops Stortford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Bishops Stortford - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Bishops Stortford is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gloucester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Bishops Stortford have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bishops Stortford won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bishops Stortford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bishops Stortford
English National League North
23.01.24	Bishops Stortford - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Chester - Bishops Stortford	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Bishops Stortford - Aldershot Town	6:1 ✺
English National League North
09.01.24	Bishops Stortford - South Shields	2:3 ✺
06.01.24	Bishops Stortford - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLL
- Gloucester City
English National League North
23.01.24	Banbury United - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Gloucester City - Blyth Spartans	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Chester - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
06.01.24	Gloucester City - Southport	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Hereford - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
12.08.23	Gloucester City - Bishops Stortford	1:1
03.04.13	Bishops Stortford - Gloucester City	1:2
02.10.12	Gloucester City - Bishops Stortford	5:1

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