The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Buzanada 15.4%
Draw 23.5%
UD San Fernando 61.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.2%
26.3%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.1%
26.1%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buzanada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UD San Fernando's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buzanada than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD San Fernando, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Buzanada - UD San Fernando Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Quintero Guevara A. F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Quintero J. ⚽,
71', 0 - 3, Javi Pipa ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buzanada won 1.
Buzanada has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
UD San Fernando is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
UD San Fernando may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, UD San Fernando is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Buzanada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.7:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Buzanada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
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