The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Búzios 9.7%
Draw 19.2%
Friburguense 71.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
13.3%
22.3%
64.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.6%
21%
66.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Búzios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Friburguense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Friburguense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Búzios than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Friburguense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Búzios - Friburguense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 1 - 2, ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 11th and 1st in the Promotion - Carioca B2 Playoffs - Semi - finals).
Búzios is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Friburguense is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Friburguense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Friburguense enters as the overwhelming favorite.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Watch
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