Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 9

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce		Flota Świnoujście

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.4	2.48
	2.44	3.45	2.5	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.3)	3.45 ↑ (3.28)	2.48 ↓ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
37.3%

Draw
26.2%

Flota Świnoujście
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

28.7%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Flota Świnoujście has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5).

Nowe Skalmierzyce has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Flota is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Flota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Września - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:3 ✺
27.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Elana Toruń	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTT
- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Kluczevia Stargard	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Elana Toruń - Flota Świnoujście	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lipno Stęszew	4:0 ✺
27.08.25	Września - Flota Świnoujście	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Flota Świnoujście - Luzino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.06.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	1:0
16.11.24	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:3
25.11.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	1:2
05.08.23	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:3

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