Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium (Bydgoszcz)


	Zawisza Bydgoszcz		Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	1.92	3.55	3.25
	1.9	3.5	3.62
	2.13	3.55	2.98	Watch
	1.9	3.72	3.51	Watch
	1.84	3.85	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)	3.61 ↓ (3.75)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
47.6%

Draw
25.3%

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

23.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23.8%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Kozlowski F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 🟥,
83', 2 - 0, Strzyzewski M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zawisza won 2.

Zawisza is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stargard's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zawisza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zawisza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Zawisza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Zawisza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	5:0 ✺
12.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:0 ✺
05.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWT
- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.09.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Wda Świecie	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Luzino - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lech Poznań 2	3:3 ✺
06.09.25	Września - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Szczecin II	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.04.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:4
14.09.24	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:3
03.05.24	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:4
06.10.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:1
22.04.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:0
17.09.22	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:0
16.04.22	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1

Upcoming Matches