Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 19

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cádiz		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.86	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.1
	3.75	3.4	1.92	Watch
	3.37	3.45	2.2
	4.02	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.95
	3.96	3.55	1.93	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (2.75)	3.4 ↑ (3.37)	1.97 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
24.9%

Draw
27.6%

Castellón
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

27.2%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cádiz's form might have worsened.

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cádiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	8.7%	65.2%

Cádiz - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Castellón will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Castellón (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cádiz (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Castellón (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Aznar V. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 2. Moreno J. 6. Ortega I. 33. Pereira R. 19. de la Rosa J. 5. Diakite M. 15. Ortuno S. 10. Ocampo B. 9. Marti R. 17. Camara D.	13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 4. Sienra A. 12. Alcazar 7. Mabil A. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 8. Barri 18. Santiago P. 21. Calatrava A. 9. Camara O.
Substitutes
18. Diarra Y. 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 1. Gil D. (G) 22. Ontiveros J. 23. Pascual A. 26. Perez F. (G) 12. Tabatadze I. 7. Ugiagbe E.	1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 11. Aurelio D. 3. Brignani F. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 14. Gil O. 23. Mamah K. 20. Markanich N. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 10. Suero I. 26. Tincho
Coaches
Garitano G.	Hernandez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Carcelen I. 🟨,
39', Diakite M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', de la Rosa J. ↓, Tabatadze I. ↑,
53', Marti R. ↓, Pascual A. ↑,
64', Santiago P. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
66', Camara O. 🟨,
67', Suero I. 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Camara D. ⚽, Pascual A. (A),
71', Ocampo B. ↓, Ontiveros J. ↑,
73', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
73', Sienra A. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
78', Pereira R. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Camara D. ⚽, Pascual A. (A),
86', Barri ↓, Tincho ↑,
86', Mabil A. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
87', Ortuno S. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
87', Camara D. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
88', Ontiveros J. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent performances by Cádiz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Castellón is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Cádiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Castellón will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cádiz: Climent M. (Yellow Cards) Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Kovacevic B. (Injury) Suso (Injury)

There will not play in Castellón: Cipenga B. (International duty)

There are questionable in Castellón: Jakobsen A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cádiz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Castellón - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.34%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Zaragoza - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Cádiz - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Real Murcia - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Córdoba - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Cádiz - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLWL
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
15.12.25	Castellón - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Castellón - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	FC Andorra - Castellón	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Castellón - Real Sociedad B	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.02.25	Cádiz - Castellón	0:0
09.09.24	Castellón - Cádiz	1:3

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