Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Cádiz		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.32	Watch
	2.72	3.3	2.42	Watch
	2.96	3.39	2.5
	2.87	3.4	2.44	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.45
	2.85	3.44	2.5
	2.75	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.71)	3.35 ↓ (3.42)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
33.5%

Draw
28.1%

Racing Santander
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

27.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

27.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Cádiz - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Racing (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Racing (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cádiz will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 3 - 50%). Racing (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Aznar V. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 2. Moreno J. 6. Ortega I. 21. Climent M. 19. de la Rosa J. 5. Diakite M. 15. Ortuno S. 10. Ocampo B. 9. Marti R. 17. Camara D.	1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. 5. Castro J. 21. Ramon P. 32. Salinas J. 6. Sainz-Maza I. (C) 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 12. Villalibre A.
Substitutes
29. Caicedo A. 18. Diarra Y. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 1. Gil D. (G) 23. Pascual A. 33. Pereira R. 28. Perez D. (G) 12. Tabatadze I. 7. Ugiagbe E.	8. Aldasoro A. 9. Arana J. 7. Cabanzon Y. 20. Camara S. 3. Garcia M. 35. Gomez Rodriguez L. (G) 16. Gonzalez F. 14. Gueye M. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 4. Manu 15. Sangalli M. 36. Sergio M.
Coaches
Garitano G.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Camara D. ⚽, de la Rosa J. (A),
13', de la Rosa J. 🟨,
15', 2 - 0, Marti R. ⚽,
19', Camara D. 🟨,
20', 2 - 1, Vicente I. ⚽, Puerta G. (A),
25', Climent M. 🟨,
28', Vicente I. 🟨,
42', Marti R. 🟨,
45+5', Mantilla A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sainz-Maza I. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
47', Ortega I. 🟨,
49', Gueye M. 🟨,
57', Marti R. ↓, Pascual A. ↑,
60', Villalibre A. 🟨,
60', Mantilla A. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
60', Villalibre A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Martin A. ⚽, Canales P. (A),
68', de la Rosa J. ↓, Tabatadze I. ↑,
72', Diakite M. 🟨,
83', Ocampo B. ↓, Ugiagbe E. ↑,
86', Canales P. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
87', Vicente I. ↓, Aldasoro A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Martin A. ⚽, Camara S. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 4.

Recent form of Cádiz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Racing is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cádiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Ontiveros J. (Injury) Suso (Injury)

There will not play in Racing: Michelin C. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cádiz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Santander - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Real Murcia - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Córdoba - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Cádiz - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Almería - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Cádiz - Valladolid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLT
- Racing Santander
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Ponferradina - Racing Santander	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Racing Santander - Eibar	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Burgos - Racing Santander	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Racing Santander - Granada	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Las Palmas - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.02.25	Racing Santander - Cádiz	2:3
20.10.24	Cádiz - Racing Santander	0:1
24.01.20	Cádiz - Racing Santander	1:0
06.09.19	Racing Santander - Cádiz	1:2
Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
12.06.16	Racing Santander - Cádiz	0:1
05.06.16	Cádiz - Racing Santander	1:0

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