Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday
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Céltiga |
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Alondras |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.35 |
2.88 |
2.92 |
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2.41 |
2.9 |
3.03 |
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2.41 |
2.96 |
2.99 |
Watch |
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2.45 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
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2.4 |
3.23 |
2.92 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.4 ↑ (2.02) |
2.95 ↓ (3.25) |
2.95 ↓ (3.33) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Céltiga 38% | Draw 31% | Alondras 31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Céltiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Céltiga's form might have worsened.Alondras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Céltiga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (-4.2%)Céltiga - Alondras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 68', 0 - 1, Luismi ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).Céltiga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Alondras has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Alondras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Céltiga has had a series of away games. Céltiga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Céltiga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Alondras | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
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| 12 | Celtiga | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;