The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Céltiga 35.7%
Draw 30%
Barco 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
30.1%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
32.2%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Céltiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Barco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barco than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Céltiga - Barco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
Céltiga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Barco is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Céltiga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Céltiga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Céltiga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
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