Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Céltiga		Lugo B

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.92	2.52
	2.73	2.88	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 (2.73)	2.9 ↑ (2.88)	2.52 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Céltiga
33.1%

Draw
31.1%

Lugo B
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

31.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

32.3%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Céltiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Lugo B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Céltiga - Lugo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 7)

Céltiga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lugo B has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Céltiga FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Gran Peña - Céltiga	2:4 ✺
02.11.25	Céltiga - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Céltiga - Viveiro	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Juventud Cambados - Céltiga	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Céltiga - Boiro	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWL
- CD Lugo B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Lugo B - Juventud Cambados	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Boiro - Lugo B	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Lugo B - Barco	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Compostela - Lugo B	3:2 ✺
11.10.25	Lugo B - Estradense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTLW

Céltiga - Lugo B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide