Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 18

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Trama (Comandante Nicanor Otamendi)


	Círculo Deportivo		Deportivo Rincón

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.22	3.05	2.98
	2.23	2.95	2.97
				Watch
	2.41	2.89	2.95
	2.41	3.05	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.5)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	2.82 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Círculo Deportivo
38.6%

Draw
29.7%

Deportivo Rincón
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

29%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Círculo Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Deportivo Rincón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (+3%)

Círculo Deportivo - Deportivo Rincón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baez N. (G) 6. Alvarez S. (C) 11. Banchio R. 7. Bonet J. 9. Iriberri I. 10. Makarte R. 2. Martinez J. 8. Tello L. 3. Velasco A. 5. Vilchez J. 4. Zurita M.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 11. Avila C. 8. Carrasco D. 9. Cervera G. 2. Chacon J. 3. Diaz E. 4. Di Bello N. 10. Miguel F. 5. Moreno F. 6. Osinaga A. 7. Riquelme F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Lezcano A. ⚽,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Iriberri I. ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Iriberri I. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
75', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Círculo Deportivo is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

Deportivo Rincón is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Winners stage )

Círculo Deportivo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Deportivo Rincón has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Círculo Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Círculo Deportivo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.07.25	Villa Mitre - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Círculo Deportivo - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
21.06.25	Sol de Mayo - Círculo Deportivo	4:1 ✺
15.06.25	Círculo Deportivo - Cipolletti	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Círculo Deportivo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLLW
- Deportivo Rincón
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.25	Deportivo Rincón - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Deportivo Rincón - Germinal	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Deportivo Rincón - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.05.25	Deportivo Rincón - Círculo Deportivo	1:0
18.08.24	Círculo Deportivo - Deportivo Rincón	0:1
23.06.24	Deportivo Rincón - Círculo Deportivo	1:0
28.04.24	Círculo Deportivo - Deportivo Rincón	3:2

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