Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros (Rincon de Los Sauces)


	Deportivo Rincón		Olimpo Bahia Blanca

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.32	2.88	3
	2.5	2.67	3.01
				Watch
	2.35	2.94	3
	2.25	2.98	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.33)	2.89 ↓ (3.1)	2.89 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Rincón
38.2%

Draw
30.9%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

29.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Rincón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Deportivo Rincón - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Criado J. (G) 11. Avila C. 2. Chacon J. 3. Diaz E. 4. Di Bello N. 7. Lezcano A. 10. Miguel F. 5. Moreno F. 6. Osinaga A. 8. Portino G. 9. Riquelme F.	1. Ibanez M. (G) 11. Coacci E. 5. Fernandez S. 6. Ferreyra M. 8. Gallegos E. 7. Groba G. 2. Moiraghi N. 10. Ramirez D. 3. Vega G. 9. Villacorta F. 4. Vivas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Riquelme F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Groba G. ↓, Murialdo A. ↑,
65', 🟨,
78', Vivas J. ↓, Di Buo I. ↑,
89', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Olimpo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Rincón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Rincón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Rincón
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.06.25	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Deportivo Rincón - Germinal	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Deportivo Rincón - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Sol de Mayo - Deportivo Rincón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWT
- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.06.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Círculo Deportivo	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Guillermo Brown	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.05.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Deportivo Rincón	2:1
02.06.24	Deportivo Rincón - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:1
07.04.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Deportivo Rincón	1:0

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