Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 38

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday


	Córdoba		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.67
	4	3.3	1.73
	3.6	3.5	1.82
	3.98	3.46	1.75
	4.3	3.58	1.78
	4	3.6	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (2.7)	3.54 ↑ (3.13)	1.75 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Córdoba
22.9%

Draw
25.5%

Badajoz
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

29.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Córdoba's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Córdoba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Córdoba - Badajoz Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Córdoba will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Badajoz will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badajoz: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Picon P. (G) 2. Ruiz Jose 5. Moreno J. 12. Jimenez A. 4. Calderon J. 10. de las Cuevas M. (C) 15. Caballero A. 22. Diarra Y. 18. Bouzaidi S. 7. Ledesma L. 20. Casas A.	13. Narvaez M. (G) 7. Calderon C. 2. Gomez M. 5. Garcia B. 3. Cordero C. 4. Mancuso G. 8. Buyla J. 10. Garcia Perez J. L. 11. Alfaro J. 17. Adilson 14. Santamaria G.
Substitutes
14. Alonso J. 17. Camus M. 11. Canario 23. Carracedo C. 21. Flores J. 3. Jimenez E. 19. Kike 6. Shashoua A. 33. Tarres L. (G)	15. Acuna M. 9. Francis 20. Garcia J. 16. Mas Garcia J. 27. Muller S. 6. Palma R. 1. Royo K. (G) 26. Sanchez E. 22. Soto D.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 15).

Córdoba is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Badajoz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Badajoz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Córdoba won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Córdoba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Córdoba CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.05.23	Mérida AD - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Córdoba - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Linense - Córdoba	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Córdoba - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLTL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.05.23	Badajoz - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Ferrol - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Badajoz - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Linares Deportivo - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Badajoz - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.11.22	Badajoz - Córdoba	2:4
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Badajoz - Córdoba	1:1
11.10.20	Badajoz - Córdoba	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.02.20	Badajoz - Córdoba	0:1
21.09.19	Córdoba - Badajoz	1:1

Upcoming Matches