Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 34

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Linares Deportivo		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.1	3.1	3
	2	3.2	3.5
	2.16	3.27	3.4
	2.06	3.35	3.44
	2.11	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.82)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)	3.29 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
43.7%

Draw
28.5%

Badajoz
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

25.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linares Deportivo's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Linares Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Linares Deportivo - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Linares in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Badajoz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Badajoz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Linares will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Linares won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.04.23	Alcorcón - Linares Deportivo	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	Linares Deportivo - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Linares Deportivo - Córdoba	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Leonesa - Linares Deportivo	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Linares Deportivo - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 TWWWW
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.04.23	Badajoz - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
16.04.23	Ceuta - Badajoz	3:0 ✺
09.04.23	Badajoz - Real Madrid Castilla	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Badajoz - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.12.22	Badajoz - Linares Deportivo	1:1

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