Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio General Santander (Cúcuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cúcuta Deportivo		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.45	1.92	Watch
	3.96	3.41	2
	3.84	3.64	1.89	Watch
	3.6	3.25	1.95
	3.7	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (3.77)	3.46 ↑ (3.13)	1.94 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cúcuta Deportivo
24.9%

Draw
27%

Independiente Medellín
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

29.6%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

28.5%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez J. (G) 26. Abonia Y. 3. Calcaterra D. 28. Rodriguez S. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. (C) 16. Londono K. 5. Mejia V. 10. Rios L. 23. Castaneda F. 32. Agudelo J. 11. Arizalas E.	1. Ichazo S. (G) 2. Chaverra L. 4. Mantilla K. 24. Ortiz J. 26. Mena Perea E. 6. Moreno D. (C) 16. Loboa H. 31. Moreno D. 13. Chaverra F. 19. Fydriszewski F. 20. Montano J.
Substitutes
7. Berdugo L. 70. Cano A. 8. Ceballos J. 90. Hernandez L. 20. Perez D. 4. Quinones J. 33. Tamara S. 19. Valencia J.	7. Berrio L. 25. Chaux E. (G) 28. Davila A. 9. Larrosa E. 17. Mancilla G. 23. Palacios M. 8. Serna A. 88. Viveros J.
Coaches
Florez N.	Restrepo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Chaverra L. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽, Fydriszewski F. (A),
35', Loboa H. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
38', Rios L. ↓, Berdugo L. ↑,
43', Agudelo J. 🟥,
45+1', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 1, Berdugo L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, Serna A. ⚽,
55', Castaneda F. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
55', Londono K. ↓, Ceballos J. ↑,
56', 1 - 3, Montano J. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
63', Calcaterra D. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
63', Arizalas E. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
65', Moreno D. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
65', Montano J. ↓, Mancilla G. ↑,
85', Quinones J. 🟨,
86', Chaverra F. ↓, Viveros J. ↑,
86', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
87', Ortiz J. 🟨,
89', Mena Perea E. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 17)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Cúcuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ind Medellín could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cúcuta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ind. Medellin	12	6	2	4	19:16	3	20
11	Cucuta	12	4	3	5	15:19	-4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A
07.02.26	Rionegro Águilas - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	Inter Bogotá - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Once Caldas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
06.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Inter Bogotá	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Millonarios - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
05.10.23	Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:3 penalties
28.09.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín	0:1
Colombian Primera A
08.10.20	Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo	4:1
10.10.19	Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:0
28.03.19	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín	2:2
12.09.15	Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo	4:1
29.03.15	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín	1:2

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