The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza San Miguel 56.5%
Draw 24.5%
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
28.8%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
27.2%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza San Miguel's performance.
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza San Miguel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Alianza San Miguel - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Barreto J. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Bogota C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+8', 2 - 1, Parra W. ⚽,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
In recent outings, Alianza has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Platense Municipal has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Platense Municipal could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Alianza has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Bookmakers give the edge to Alianza for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Alianza has recorded 10 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:13 (averaging 1.5:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:7 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Platense Municipal
15
5
4
6
19:20
-1
19
7
Alianza FC
13
4
6
3
20:19
1
18
Last Results with these Odds
Alianza San Miguel - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 45.32%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 25.88%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.