Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Óscar Quiteño (Santa Ana)

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO


	CD FAS		Fuerte San Francisco

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.95	8.8
	1.27	5.59	9.83
	1.28	5.3	9.8	Watch
	1.25	5	9
	1.25	5	9.85
	1.21	4.9	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.5)	5.12 ↑ (3.82)	9.21 ↑ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD FAS
72.4%

Draw
17.7%

Fuerte San Francisco
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

23.8%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

22.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD FAS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD FAS's performance.

Fuerte San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fuerte San Francisco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD FAS than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD FAS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

CD FAS - Fuerte San Francisco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Gallardo J. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, Medrano E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
77', 2 - 1, Clavel R. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, Nolasco J. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FAS won 2.

FAS is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fuerte has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fuerte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, FAS is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, FAS won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:7. (average 2.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, FAS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FAS	12	7	3	2	22:11	11	24
12	Fuerte San Francisco	14	1	6	7	9:23	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD FAS
El Salvador Primera Division
18.03.26	CD FAS - Hércules	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Isidro Metapán - CD FAS	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - CD FAS	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	CD FAS - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Cacahuatique - CD FAS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW
- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
18.03.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Inter FA	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Hércules - Fuerte San Francisco	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
26.02.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Águila	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
25.01.26	Fuerte San Francisco - CD FAS	1:1
28.09.25	CD FAS - Fuerte San Francisco	3:0
27.07.25	Fuerte San Francisco - CD FAS	0:8
09.04.25	CD FAS - Fuerte San Francisco	0:3
12.02.25	Fuerte San Francisco - CD FAS	0:0
05.10.24	CD FAS - Fuerte San Francisco	4:0
04.08.24	Fuerte San Francisco - CD FAS	2:2

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