Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO


	Hércules		Fuerte San Francisco

	1	X	2
	2.82	3	2.35
	3.35	3.23	2.16
	2.99	3.23	2.35	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.3
	2.98	3.52	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.41)	3.18 ↓ (3.26)	2.28 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
30.6%

Draw
29%

Fuerte San Francisco
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.6%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.4%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hércules's form might have worsened.

Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fuerte San Francisco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hércules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Hércules - Fuerte San Francisco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fuerte (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Fuerte San Francisco	14	1	6	7	9:23	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Hércules
El Salvador Primera Division
07.03.26	Isidro Metapán - Hércules	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Hércules - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	0:4 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
26.02.26	Fuerte Aguilares - Hércules	1:3 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
21.02.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Hércules	3:2 ✺
18.02.26	Hércules - Cacahuatique	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWLL
- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
07.03.26	Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
26.02.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Águila	0:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
22.02.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Zacatecoluca	2:2 ✺
18.02.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
18.01.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Hércules	1:1
22.10.25	Hércules - Fuerte San Francisco	0:3

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