The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cacahuatique 23.1%
Draw 27.3%
CD FAS 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
29.3%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
29.7%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cacahuatique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cacahuatique's form might have worsened.
CD FAS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD FAS's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cacahuatique, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD FAS than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD FAS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Cacahuatique - CD FAS Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. FAS will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Medrano E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 2, Medrano E. ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 11th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cacahuatique won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Cacahuatique (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
FAS is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
FAS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, FAS is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Cacahuatique has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:14 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cacahuatique against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:5 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
FAS
12
7
3
2
22:11
11
24
11
Cacahuatique
14
2
5
7
14:24
-10
11
Last Results with these Odds
CD FAS - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.71%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.