Match Info
Primera Division - Apertura - Round 9Date: 23 September 2026, WednesdayLocation: Estadio Cuscatlán (San Salvador)
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Alianza San Miguel |
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Fuerte San Francisco |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.50 |
3.80 |
5.50 |
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1.52 |
3.65 |
5.40 |
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1.57 |
3.95 |
5.89 |
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1.57 |
3.92 |
5.6 |
 Watch |
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1.55 |
3.75 |
5.55 |
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1.53 |
4.23 |
5.55 |
Watch |
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1.50 |
3.85 |
5.20 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.56) |
3.88 ↑
(3.5) |
5.53 ↑
(5.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alianza San Miguel
59.8% | Draw
23.6% | Fuerte San Francisco
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Fuerte San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Fuerte will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Fuerte (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fuerte (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Barreto J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 5.Alianza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Fuerte is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Alianza has had a series of away games. In this match, Alianza is a strong favorite.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:9. (average 1.7:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Alianza FC | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
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| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 9 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| El Salvador Primera Division | | | 01.05.26 | Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel | 0:1 | | 07.03.26 | Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco | 3:2 | | 16.11.25 | Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel | 1:3 | | 14.09.25 | Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco | 1:0 | | 18.05.25 | Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco | 2:0 | | 15.05.25 | Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel | 0:1 | | 23.04.25 | Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel | 1:0 |
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