Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	CD Guadalajara		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	3.1
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.35	2.98	3.05
	2.29	3.27	2.96
	2.43	2.84	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.21)	2.98 ↓ (3.08)	3.03 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
39.3%

Draw
30.6%

Unionistas de Salamanca
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

CD Guadalajara - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unionistas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zarco A. (G) 5. Gallardo D. 4. Ablanque J. 23. Casado J. 18. Martinez J. 17. Gil A. 14. Tavares R. 7. Neskes 6. Rojo P. 11. Alvarez U. 24. Caropitche S. M.	1. Marino U. (G) 2. Olmedo V. 5. Farru 12. Santiago A. 3. Gorjon A. 18. de Bustos H. 6. Juanje 14. Roldan L. 8. Lopez J. 11. Gomez A. 9. Alex Pachon
Substitutes
10. Amigo D. 8. Calvo T. 16. Cera 20. Diaz B. 3. Moreno A. 19. Munoz P. 21. Ramirez M. 15. Rodriguez V. 22. Samuel 13. Vicente D. (G)	. Abde 10. de la Nava C. 20. Encuentra J. 17. Gabriel Palmero 22. Lendinez J. 21. Marco P. 4. Mayor R. 7. Moreno I. 19. Prada R. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Farru 🟨,
39', 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Caropitche S. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 🟨,
49', 🟨,
79', 2 - 0, Caropitche S. M. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Unionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Unionistas de Salamanca - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 28.88%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.09.25	Celta de Vigo B - CD Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	CD Guadalajara - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.08.25	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Marchamalo - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
13.08.25	Alcalá - CD Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTT
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.09.25	Arenteiro - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Mérida AD	2:5 ✺
13.08.25	Real Ávila - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Oviedo B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWW

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