The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cacereño 46.4%
Draw 28.3%
Unionistas de Salamanca 25.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.3%
28.6%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
27.5%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cacereño's performance.
Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Cacereño - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nieves D. (G) 17. Lopez S. 2. Martinez Munoz I. (C) 3. Molina M. 22. Exposito A. 8. Gete A. 6. Conesa N. 11. Monerris A. 5. Calvo T. 20. Tellechea I. 9. Chit O.
1. Daza A. (G) 2. Morer D. 3. Serrano M. 16. Rivera G. 21. Retu 5. Luis Alcalde 14. Marcelo A. 20. Casas A. 7. de Bustos H. 10. de la Nava C. (C) 11. Gomez A.
Substitutes
14. Alonso J. 18. Artola J. 4. Barea P. 24. Cabrera U. 7. Fernandez I. 13. Garcia G. (G) 23. Gonzalez J. 16. Navarro S. 10. Runy 21. Sanchez L.
22. Chatiliez W. 13. Emilio (G) 30. Hernando I. O. 4. Mayor R. 19. Mutilva C. 24. Pastor G. 31. Prados L. L. 17. Saidi A.
Coaches
Cobos J.
Medina J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Chit O. ⚽, Calvo T. (A),
44', Exposito A. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Casas A. ⚽, Luis Alcalde (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Tellechea I. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Tellechea I. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
68', Retu ↓, Saidi A. ↑,
70', Casas A. 🟨,
72', Monerris A. ↓, Runy ↑,
72', Calvo T. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
73', Martinez Munoz I. 🟨,
78', Luis Alcalde ↓, Mutilva C. ↑,
88', Chit O. 🟨,
89', Chit O. ↓, Fernandez I. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 15th).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Cacereño is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cacereño has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1.7:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cacereño against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Cacereno
9
4
3
2
8:5
3
15
16
Unionistas
9
3
1
5
12:15
-3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Cacereño - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Unionistas de Salamanca - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.15%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.